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☆ Uber to become S&P 500 constituent -S&P Indexes
▼ + stars: | 2023-12-02 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: 1 min

The Logo of taxi company Uber is seen on the roof of a private hire taxi in Liverpool, Britain, April 15, 2019. REUTERS/Phil Noble/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsDec 1 (Reuters) - Ride-hailing service Uber Technologies will join the S&P 500 (.SPX) effective at the open of trading on Dec. 18, along with S&P MidCap 400 (.IDX) constituents Jabil Inc and Builders FirstSource Inc , S&P Dow Jones Indices announced late Friday. The stocks will replace Sealed Air Corp , Alaska Air Group Inc and SolarEdge Technologies Inc in the benchmark S&P 500, joining the S&P MidCap 400 index as of Monday. (This story has been refiled to correct the date to Dec. 18, not Monday, in paragraph 1)Reporting by Alden Bentley; Editing by Leslie AdlerOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Persons: Phil Noble, Dow, Alden Bentley, Leslie Adler Organizations: REUTERS, Uber Technologies, Jabil Inc, Builders FirstSource Inc, Dow Jones Indices, Air Corp, Alaska Air Group Inc, SolarEdge Technologies Inc, Thomson Locations: Liverpool, Britain

☆ US bond investors brace for Fed rate cuts in 2024
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-30 | by ( Gertrude Chavez-Dreyfuss | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

Traders' confidence was reinforced earlier this week when Fed Governor Christopher Waller, a hawkish policymaker, flagged a possible rate cut in the months ahead. SOFR FUTURESBond investors also look to the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) futures to gauge expectations of Fed rate moves. The June 2024 SOFR futures have priced at least one Fed cut, while the probability of two 25-basis-point rate reductions was at 76%. An OIS transaction involves exchanging an overnight rate such as the federal funds rate for a fixed one. For instance, in a U.S. two-year OIS transaction, one party receives a fixed two-year rate in exchange for paying the fed funds rate daily over the next two years.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Robert Pavlik, Pavlik, Christopher Waller, Jerome Powell's, It's, Gertrude Chavez, Dreyfuss, Saqib Iqbal Ahmed, Stephen Culp, Alden Bentley, Paul Simao Organizations: Wall, REUTERS, Bond, U.S, Dakota Wealth Management, Fed, Spelman College, Reuters, Thomson Locations: New York, U.S, Fairfield , Connecticut, Atlanta

☆ IOTA launches $100 million entity in Abu Dhabi to create digital network
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-29 | by ( Gertrude Chavez-Dreyfuss | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

IOTA digital tokens will fund the investment. The foundation will be seeded with over $100 million in IOTA tokens, to be vested over the next four years, Schiener said. IOTA tokens on Tuesday traded at about $0.17, with a market capitalization of roughly $524 million, Coinmarketcap.com showed. The funds will be used to develop the IOTA network and accelerate its growth, Schiener said. IOTA will also start "tokenizing" assets, he said, a process in which ownership rights in land or buildings are represented as digital tokens and stored on a blockchain.

Persons: Satoshi bitcoin, Arnd, Dominik Schiener, Binance, Schiener, Hamad Sayah Al Mazrouei, Gertrude Chavez, Dreyfuss, Alden Bentley, Richard Chang Organizations: Swiss, Bity, REUTERS, IOTA, Wednesday, Abu Dhabi Global, United Arab, Registration, ADGM, Thomson Locations: Zurich, Switzerland, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates, UAE, Europe, Germany

Passersby wait at a crossing in front of an electronic board showing Japan's Nikkei average outside a brokerage, in Tokyo, Japan, March 17, 2023. REUTERS/Androniki Christodoulou/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsNov 21 (Reuters) - A look at the day ahead in Asian markets from Alden Bentley, U.S. The benchmark S&P 500 (.SPX) is now less than 2% away from its highest level this year that was reached in July. There are few potential U.S. market moving events this week, besides Tuesday's day early release of the minutes from the Federal Open Market Committee's last meeting. They do not reflect the views of Reuters News, which, under the Trust Principles, is committed to integrity, independence, and freedom from bias.

Persons: Androniki, Alden Bentley, Satya Nadella, Sam Altman Organizations: Nikkei, REUTERS, Breaking, Finance, Markets, Reuters, Microsoft, Treasury, Fed, Federal, Reserve Bank of Australia, Bank Indonesia, Kuaishou Technology, Tongcheng Travel, Alden Bentley Our, Thomson Locations: Tokyo, Japan, Alden, U.S, Asia

☆ Wall Street wealth helps boost endowments at posh New York City private schools
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-05 | by ( Gertrude Chavez-Dreyfuss | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

The tuition to attend private day schools in New York City can range from $58,000 to about $65,000 per year. Roughly 20% of school children attend private schools in New York City, according to think tank Manhattan Institute. With larger endowments and higher income from tuition, New York City private schools have bigger investment portfolios as well, which include long-term investments. New York City private schools have yet to report figures for 2022, when the S&P 500 fell 19%. Tuitions at New York City private schools are also outpacing those of their counterparts around the country.

Persons: outsized, Horace Mann, Walter Dillingham, Dillingham, Myra McGovern, McGovern, Gertrude Chavez, Dreyfuss, Alden Bentley, Mark Porter Organizations: YORK, Manhattan Institute, Wilmington Trust, National Association of Independent Schools, New York, New, Internal Revenue Service, Horace, Brearley School, Prep Day School, Little Red School House, Harlem Academy, Tuitions, Thomson Locations: New York, New York City, Wilmington, Bronx, Brooklyn, Manhattan, NAIS, Washington, Kansas City

☆ US 2yr/10yr yield curve hits deepest inversion in 42 years
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-03 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: 1 min

July 3 (Reuters) - A widely watched section of the U.S. Treasury yield curve on Monday hit its deepest inversion since the high inflation era of Fed Chairman Paul Volcker, in a signal that financial markets see the current Fed tightening cycle eventually tipping the U.S. into recession. The spread between the 2-year and 10-year U.S. Treasury note yields hit the widest since 1981 at -110.80 basis points in early trade, a deeper inversion than in March during the U.S. regional banking crisis. The gap was last at -108.30 bp. Reporting by Alden Bentley; editing by Philippa FletcherOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Persons: Paul Volcker, Alden Bentley, Philippa Fletcher Organizations: U.S, Treasury, Fed, Thomson

☆ Spread between 2- and 10-year Treasuries at deepest inversion since '81
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-03 | by ( David Randall | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

The closely-watched spread between the 2-year and 10-year U.S. Treasury note yields hit the widest since 1981 at -109.50 in early trade, a deeper inversion than in March during the U.S. regional banking crisis. A yield curve inversion - in which shorter-dated Treasuries trade at higher yields than longer-dated securities - has been a reliable signal of upcoming recessions. The spread between 2 and 10-year Treasuries has been inverted since last July. The two-year U.S. Treasury yield, which typically moves in step with interest rate expectations, rose 3.6 basis points at 4.913% in morning trading Monday. The yield on 10-year Treasury notes was up 1.2 basis points to 3.831%.

Persons: Paul Volcker, Ian Lyngen, Treasuries, Alden Bentley, Philippa Fletcher, Susan Fenton Organizations: U.S, Treasury, Fed, BMO, San Francisco Fed, Thomson Locations: United States, U.S

While there has been some scrambling to amend contracts linked to Libor over the past month, the transition was well telegraphed and no major issues are expected, loan and derivatives market participants and lawyers said in interviews. "I feel like it has been two to three years now that we have been re-papering all the legacy loans and legacy securities we purchased tied to Libor," said Scott DiMaggio, co-head of fixed income, at Alliance Bernstein. Friday at 11:55 a.m. British Summer Time (1055 GMT) marked the last publication for the 1-month, 3-month and 6-month U.S.-dollar Libor interest rates. Other U.S. dollar tenors were largely phased out for new contracts at the end of 2021 along with Libor rates linked to other currencies. Derivatives markets based on Libor had already mostly moved to new benchmarks without major disruption, while some corners of the loan markets, such as syndicated loans, have been busy with contract amendments, market participants said.

Persons: Scott DiMaggio, Alliance Bernstein, Shah, Federal Reserve Bank of New York's, Libor, Tal Reback, Gennadiy Goldberg, John McCrank, Gertrude Chavez, Dreyfus, Alden Bentley, Stephen Coates Organizations: YORK, Alliance, Regulators, Federal Reserve Bank of New, U.S, Britain's, Authority, Libor, TD Securities, Thomson Locations: London, Iran, U.S, New York

☆ Forecasts show U.S. earnings decline in second quarter
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-23 | by ( Caroline Valetkevitch | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

Analysts expect earnings for S&P 500 companies to fall 5.6% in the second quarter from a year ago, according to IBES data from Refinitiv. Fourth-quarter 2022 earnings for S&P 500 companies declined 3.2%, so a first-quarter profit fall would have been a second straight quarterly decline, which some strategists call an earnings recession. Package delivery firm FedEx (FDX.N) this week posted disappointing quarterly earnings and said waning global demand is pressuring its profit margins. "S&P 500 EPS estimates and stock prices will need to reset lower." The S&P 500 (.SPX) is down about 1% this week, but remains up more than 13% for the year to date.

Persons: COVID, Jerome Powell, Oliver Pursche, Olive, Morgan Stanley, Nick Raich, Caroline Valetkevitch, Alden Bentley, Nick Zieminski Organizations: YORK, Microsoft Corp, Apple Inc, Reserve, Bank of England, Wealthspire Advisors, Walmart Inc, FedEx, Olive Garden, Darden, Nike, Thomson Locations: Refinitiv, Washington, U.S, Westport , Connecticut

☆ Morning Bid: Hawkish Powell keeps markets on defense
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-21 | by ( Alden Bentley | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

June 22 (Reuters) - A look at the day ahead in Asian markets from Alden Bentley, Breaking News Editor for Finance & Markets, Americas. The week's main attraction, Fed Chair Jerome Powell's testimony before the U.S. House Financial Services Committee, came and went without rearranging the pieces on the table much. So, that left traders expecting rate hikes to resume at the Fed's July meeting, even as the futures market reflects doubts that the Fed will deliver more increases beyond that. U.S. Treasury yields held to pretty narrow ranges and, with Powell leaning hawkish but not deviating much from last week's FOMC message, the three major U.S. stock indexes fell, for the third straight session. They do not reflect the views of Reuters News, which, under the Trust Principles, is committed to integrity, independence, and freedom from bias.

Persons: Alden Bentley, Jerome Powell's, Powell's embargoed, Powell, Raphael Bostic, Kazuo Ueda, Powell's, Jerome Powell, Deepa Babington Organizations: Finance & Markets, . House Financial Services Committee, Atlanta Federal Reserve, Yahoo Finance, Reuters, Bank of Japan, Wednesday's U.S, Reserve Bank of Australia's, Treasury, CPI, Thomson Locations: Alden, Americas, U.S, Wednesday's, Japan, Indonesia

☆ Meta Platforms' return to growth index highlights annual Russell refresh
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-21 | by ( Chuck Mikolajczak | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +6 min

REUTERS/Peter DaSilvaNEW YORK, June 21 (Reuters) - Meta Platforms (META.O) will return to its former status as a full growth stock after financial data provider FTSE Russell finishes its annual shakeup of its stock index components on Friday. Every year, FTSE Russell reconstitutes, or refreshes, the components across its indexes, such as the Russell 2000 (.RUT) index of small cap stocks and Russell 1000 (.RUI) index of large-cap names. There are also style indexes such as the Russell 1000 Growth (.RLG) and Russell 2000 Value (.RUJ). FTSE Russell says about $12.1 trillion is currently benchmarked to the Russell US equity indexes. "The growth indexes look more like growth benchmarks and the value indexes look more like cyclical value indices," said Steven DeSanctis, equity analyst at Jefferies in New York.

Persons: Peter DaSilva, Russell, FTSE Russell reconstitutes, RUI, Goldman Sachs, Stocks, Goldman, Bryant VanCronkhite, VanCronkhite, Catherine Yoshimoto, Steven DeSanctis, You've, Thomas Martin, Chuck Mikolajczak, Alden Bentley, Matthew Lewis Organizations: Facebook, Meta, REUTERS, Russell, FTSE, FTSE Russell, London Stock Exchange, Allspring Global Investments, Walmart, Jefferies, Nasdaq, New York Stock Exchange, Globalt Investments, Thomson Locations: Mountain View , California, U.S, Menomonee Falls , Wisconsin, New York, Atlanta

☆ Markets brace for deluge of Treasury bill supply after US debt deal
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-05 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

The Treasury General Account has fallen sharply since January when Treasury hit its limit on borrowing. Cash balance targets indicate it will need to rebuild its account quickly now that the borrowing cap has been lifted. "Money market funds are extremely short ... so the trillion-dollar Treasury bills (issuance) would be welcome with open arms," said money market fund expert Peter Crane, president of Crane Data. Part of that could be due to the fact that money funds, heavily exposed to short-term debt this year, have started to extend the their maturities recently. "The Federal Reserve RRP has been holding trillions of the money fund assets and so that money can easily be redeployed into Treasury bills.

Persons: Steven Zeng, Zeng, Glenmede, Peter Crane, RRP, Bank's Zeng, Davide Barbuscia, Karen Brettel, Alden Bentley, Matthew Lewis Organizations: YORK, Treasury, Deutsche Bank, Treasuries, Crane, Federal, Thomson Locations: New York

☆ Crypto insurer Evertas authorized to offer largest single crypto insurance policy
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-02 | by ( Gertrude Chavez-Dreyfuss | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

"This is the single largest policy that can be approved from one insurance company," Evertas chief executive officer J. Gdanski told Reuters. The $420 million coverage applies to crime-related policies involving the theft of private keys - or codes used to authorize transactions or prove ownership - held by a custodian. The previous single policy limit for Evertas was $5 million. Being a coverholder gave Evertas the authority to write crypto insurance on behalf of Arch, one of Lloyd's syndicate members, part of a group of insurance entities that band together to provide coverage for large risks. The London insurer has also authorized Evertas to provide insurance on crypto mining hardware of up to $200 million, also the largest single policy coverage, Gdanski said.

Persons: Evertas, J, Gdanski, Gertrude Chavez, Dreyfuss, Alden Bentley, Mark Potter Organizations: YORK, Insurance, Reuters, Evertas, Arch Capital, TRM Labs, Thomson Locations: London, Gdanski

☆ Analysis: As sun sets on LIBOR, its successor rate may heighten bank risks
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-22 | by ( Gertrude Chavez-Dreyfuss | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

The transition to the Secured Overnight Funding Rate (SOFR) has been well-telegraphed for years and U.S. banks are mostly prepared for the new rate regime. Typically in a crisis, the cost of bank funding rises: rates on commercial paper and bond issuance increase as investors demand a premium to buy bank debt. This was highlighted by the New York Fed in a study released in December 2022 and updated last February. Bank funding costs have increased with the surge in interest rates since the Fed began tightening last year. "The transition has largely taken place and the rates on SOFR have risen in tandem with policy rate increases."

☆ Recession talk tapers off on latest quarterly conference calls
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-02 | by ( Noel Randewich | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

May 2 (Reuters) - While Wall Street frets that the Federal Reserve's aggressive interest rate hikes will tip the U.S. economy into a recession, discussions on recent quarterly conference calls hint that corporations and analysts have become a bit less concerned. Reports for the first quarter broadly point to shrinking profits for the U.S.' largest companies but less than analysts feared. Reuters GraphicsDiscussion about economic downturns appears to have been relatively limited on recent quarterly analyst conference calls. Terms related to "recession" have been mentioned on 41% of conference calls held in recent weeks by companies in the S&P 500. That compares to 535 mentions on analyst calls for the entirety of the previous quarterly reporting season, equivalent to 1.1 mentions per call.

☆ Bond investors fearing recession, boost safety bets ahead of FOMC
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-01 | by ( Gertrude Chavez-Dreyfuss | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

Going long duration reflects expectations U.S. yields will fall because the Fed will be forced to cut rates. During the Fed's aggressive rate-hike phase last year, investors shortened their duration exposure. In terms of price action, U.S. 5-year yields dropped 67 bps since March, suggesting increased demand from investors. U.S. Treasuries rallied in March, pushing yields lower, as the market sought safety during the banking crisis. U.S. two-year yields, which reflect rate expectations, fell nearly 60 bps in March, the largest monthly fall since December 2007.

☆ US 5-year credit default swaps rise to highest since 2011
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-21 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: 1 min

April 21 (Reuters) - The cost of insuring exposure to United States sovereign debt rose to the highest level since 2011 on Friday, over market jitters that the government could hit its debt ceiling sooner-than-expected. Spreads on U.S. five-year credit default swaps widened to 51 basis points, data from S&P Global Market Intelligence showed. This is more than double the level they stood at the start of the year. Reporting by Alden Bentley, Editing by Franklin PaulOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

☆ Morning Bid: A holiday kickoff to the second quarter, and a US jobs report
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-02 | by ( Alden Bentley | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

April 3 (Reuters) - A look at the day ahead in Asian markets from Alden Bentley. Asia's data calendar across the rest of the week otherwise looks fairly tame and the main economic event for global markets will be U.S. payrolls data on Friday. So given the number of markets that are closed on, or before, Friday, the week could bring surprises of a pleasant, or not pleasant, variety. But any surprise headlines, be they OPEC or bank related, will have to be digested by thinned markets, which can bring excessive market swings. This week will bring CPI releases from Indonesia on Monday, South Korea on Tuesday and Thailand and the Philippines on Wednesday.

☆ For battered U.S. bank shares, earnings may make or break
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-28 | by ( Caroline Valetkevitch | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

Even so, the S&P 500 bank index (.SPXBK) is down 16% since March 8, two days before Silicon Valley's collapse, with the failure of Signature Bank and problems at other banks adding to the turmoil. Some say quarterly results could be key to what happens next with bank shares. Among other financials, Jefferies Financial Group (JEF.N) is expected to report quarterly results after the closing bell Tuesday. Analysts expect S&P 500 earnings to fall 4.6% in the first quarter of 2023 from the year-ago period. They are forecasting S&P 500 financials (.SPSY) to post year-over-year earnings growth in the first quarter of 5.4%, making it among just four sectors whose earnings are expected to climb.

☆ Big investor in Credit Suisse bonds says 'bail-in' system worked
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-22 | by ( Herbert Lash | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

The firm's exposure to Credit Suisse AT1s represented 1.32% of Spectrum's assets under management (AUM) on Feb. 28. In 2021 and early 2022 Spectrum held about $400 million of Credit Suisse AT1 bonds, Jacoby said. The Credit Suisse debt represents about 12% of the benchmark for CoCos, a massive slice of the ICE BofA U.S. dollar contingent capital index (.MERCOCO), he said. "We had been paring back in Credit Suisse, had an internal negative outlook for a little over a year." "This is a Credit Suisse event and this is a Swiss bank regulation event, this is not a global disaster for CoCos."

☆ U.S. banks' CDS prices surge as contagion concern widens
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-15 | by ( Mehnaz Yasmin | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

March 15 (Reuters) - A jump in the cost for Wall Street banks to insure bonds against default on Wednesday was another worrisome indicator of credit stress for investors amid the crisis at Credit Suisse and at U.S. regional banks. Swiss bank Credit Suisse (CSGN.S) fell to a record low on Wednesday. Five-year credit default swaps for the flagship Swiss bank hit a new record high. Credit default swaps on Credit Suisse also inverted on Wednesday with the two-year rising above the five-year, and both hit a new 52-week high, according to data from Ortex. Some analysts believe that the larger banks are resilient and are more worried about the smaller and mid-sized banks.

☆ Analysis: U.S. bank loan plan provides Fed rate hike path amid SVB fallout
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-14 | by ( Gertrude Chavez-Dreyfuss | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

Banks can use eligible government securities on their books like Treasuries and agency mortgage backed-debt to guarantee the loans. By comparison, a one-year loan from a Federal Home Loan Bank, a government state enterprise that provides low-cost lending to regional banks, is around 5.4%, according to market participants. In essence, the bank lending program will allow the Fed to keep raising rates." U.S. banks had raised their holdings of government securities during periods of ultra-low interest rates to defend falling interest net margins. Major banks led by Goldman Sachs (GS.N) and Barclays Bank (BARC.L) have called for a pause from the Fed next week.

☆ As hawkish Fed pricing goes away, bullish dollar calls fade
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-13 | by ( Karen Brettell | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

The moves come as investors rush for safe havens and adjust for a less aggressive Fed in the wake of the bank failures. “The market is basically saying that the Fed is done here,” said Mazen Issa, senior FX strategist at TD Securities in New York. Some banks, including Goldman Sachs and NatWest Markets, have also said they no longer expect the Fed to raise rates this month. Traders are also pricing for the Fed to cut rates this year, with the fed funds rate expected to fall to 3.80% in December, from 4.57% now. “From a dollar perspective, that’s very important because the resetting of Fed expectations ever higher was a big part of the dollar rally we had seen before these moves,” he added.

☆ Analysis: Declining U.S. bank reserves add wrinkle to contentious debt ceiling issue
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-10 | by ( Gertrude Chavez-Dreyfuss | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

Bank deposits, which are part of reserves, also dropped with customers seeking higher-yielding alternatives for their cash. Lower reserves constrain banks' balance sheets, hampering their ability to lend to finance corporate growth and expansions, analysts said. As of March 8, bank reserves during the week averaged $2.999 trillion, Fed data show, falling around $1.3 trillion from a peak of $4.3 trillion in December 2021. Volumes on reverse repos have hit north of $2 trillion since June last year, even as bank reserves have dwindled. And cash assetsDeposit outflows, reverse repos, and bank reserves are all inter-related.

☆ Analysis: Sharp drop in equity premium may mark return of 60/40 portfolio
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-03 | by ( Mehnaz Yasmin | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

The thinning spread between returns from stocks and bonds is set to bring the 60/40 portfolio strategy back in favor. The Fed's move to tighten monetary policy at the fastest pace in decades pumped up bond yields after nearly two years of near-zero interest rates. On the other hand, "during a recession, yields will fall and Treasury bond prices will rise," said Roberts. While the economic downturn would hit stock returns, drop in bond yields should provide some relief in such a scenario, according to analysts. "For me, the best risk-reward portfolio in this environment for now is long duration Treasury bonds, and deep value, dividend equities," Roberts said.

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